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$BTC closed a weekly candle above $102K — the key 1.168 Fibonacci level been I have been pointing to for months.
Macro chat is somehow having some bearish sentiment spilling over but this is simple structure.
Hold $102K = continuation.
Lose it = shakeout risk.
Don't get shaken out this is where things can really begin.
#Bitcoin #BTC
Weekly update👀
1. Market Overview
This past week made one thing crystal clear: adoption isn’t just happening — it’s accelerating on all fronts, simultaneously 🔥
In the traditional financial world, Galaxy Digital got listed on Nasdaq, a major milestone in bridging crypto and Wall Street. Even more striking? They’re now reportedly in talks with the SEC to tokenize their own stock and other equities — a glimpse into the future of financial markets.
Not to be outdone, Coinbase officially joined the S&P 500, becoming the first crypto-native company ever included — a historic moment that solidifies crypto’s role in the global financial system👀
ETF flows continued to tell a powerful story — BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF has now seen inflows in 22 of the past 23 trading days, with over $6 billion in new capital pouring in. Just this month alone, spot Bitcoin ETFs have bought 26,700 BTC, while miners have only produced 7,200. The supply squeeze is real — and intensifying💥
On the corporate front, new companies are joining the Bitcoin race daily, with treasuries shifting and capital reallocated — a theme we’ve been tracking closely in our daily updates.
And while all of this unfolds, macro liquidity is quietly flooding back into the system — the Federal Reserve bought $8.8 billion in 30-year Treasuries in a single day, and $43.6 billion over the past week. That’s fresh fuel — and much of it is finding its way into crypto📈
2. ETF Flows
ETF flows stayed firmly in the green this week, signaling continued institutional demand and growing confidence
- BTC ETFs: +$608.4 million💰
- ETH ETFs: +$41.8 million💸
3. On-Chain Data
- Coinbase Premium: Positive✅
- Exchange Reserves: Reached new lows✅
- MVRV Ratio: 2.2 (Cycle Top Above 3.7)✅
- Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL): 57 (Cycle Top Above 75)✅
- Open Interest: Low✅
- Funding Rates: Negative✅
- CMC Fear and Greed Index: 71 (Greed)🤔
While Bitcoin is currently struggling to break through the $104K–$105K range, we actually view this consolidation as a healthy sign. The pause has triggered a wave of short-term bearish sentiment — but as history shows, markets often move in the opposite direction of the crowd. With fear rising and sentiment cooling, the setup for a bullish continuation is quietly strengthening👀
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